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Cost Per Lead Means Nothing Without the Other Number

A $61 lead and a $12 lead from our own library, and why the expensive one was the better buy. The arithmetic every marketing decision should start from and usually does not.

In short

Cost per lead is only half of a fraction. The other half is what a customer is worth, and without it a cheap lead and an expensive one cannot be compared at all.

Two engagements in our library make the point better than any framework: a school lead at $61 and a construction lead at $12.

The two leads

The construction company generated 422 leads at $12. The private school generated 306 leads at $61. On cost per lead alone the first account is five times better, and that comparison is meaningless.12

ConstructionSchool
Cost per lead$12$61
Illustrative close rate1 in 101 in 10
Cost per customer$120$610
What a customer is worthOne projectSeveral years of fees
The same two engagements with the value side added. Close rates and values are illustrative, to show the arithmetic.

The number almost nobody has

When we ask a prospective client what a customer is worth over their lifetime, most cannot answer, and a good proportion have never separated a first purchase from a repeat one. That is not a criticism. It is the single highest-return piece of unglamorous work available to most businesses, and it costs nothing but an afternoon with the sales records.

  1. 01Average first purchase valueFrom invoices, not from memory.
  2. 02How often they come back, and for how longTwo years of history is enough to estimate from.
  3. 03Your gross margin on thatRevenue is not the number to optimise against.
  4. 04Your actual close rate from enquiryCount enquiries, not qualified leads, or you will flatter yourself.

Sources

  1. Construction Company: 422 leads at $12. Monastic Marketing case study. Read September 29, 2026.
  2. Educational Institution: 306 leads at $61. Monastic Marketing case study. Read September 29, 2026.

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